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Annual
Report 1999 - Summary for Policymakers
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1 Overcoming
the crisis of the biosphere First
biological imperative: preserve the integrity of bioregions 5 The core policy recommendations from the German Advisory Council on Global Change A
"guard rail" for the biosphere: protect 10-20% of land area
Overcoming the crisis of the biosphereWe
are currently experiencing a major crisis of the biosphere: the Sixth
Extinction of genetic and species diversity. Every day nature's
genetic and physiological blueprints are lost without us being able
to explore the opportunities that they present to us. The cause of this
Sixth Extinction is humankind who has transformed, isolated, fragmented
or destroyed the world's landscapes and ecosystems. This process is
so far-reaching that the general ability of the living world to rebuild
a complex interrelation of species after severe disruptions is at risk
for millions of years to come. The vast majority of scientists believe
that there are only a few decades left to prevent this fateful development
with environmental policy measures.
The
German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU) believes that the crux
of all strategies of this kind is to place at least 10% of the earth's
land area under protection. As a result the planetary biosphere services
(such as regulating the world's climate) could be preserved, as
could the biodiversity hotspots where the natural capital of genetic
information is concentrated.
In
Europe a demand of this kind has long been a statutory requirement,
but in Germany it has not yet been implemented. Scientific analyses
show that an appropriate global protected area system can be financed
by well-considered cuts in the worldwide system of agricultural subsidies.
The
most important instrument of biosphere policy under international law
is the Biodiversity Convention. In the field of biosafety the Council's
recommendations became reality in the form of the Cartagena Protocol
shortly after this Report went to press. Other important steps have
not yet been taken: the German Federal Government should advocate that
the United Nations Rio+10 Declaration contain firm calls for these steps
to be implemented.
Urgent need to actThe
German Advisory Council on Global Change focuses its 1999 Annual Report,
entitled 'World in transition: conservation and sustainable use
of the biosphere', on an interdisciplinary analysis of the biosphere
crisis. A number of concrete recommendations for political decision-makers
are derived on this basis.
The
measures recommended can only hope to be successful, however, if they
are fitted into the logic of a global framework on 'biosphere
governance'. The community of nations will have to decide whether,
in what way and in what places it wishes to preserve, maintain or actively
design. It will be many years before biosphere governance will step
out of the shadow of the profound ignorance that surrounds the biosphere.
For instance, although prognostic capacity was very quickly acquired
in relation to climate issues, the complexity of life on this planet
has only really begun to be sounded by the academic world. In addition
to formulating recommendations, therefore, there is a need to outline
a research strategy for the biosphere.
Biosphere
and biological diversity are therefore issues that in future must be
placed much higher on the international and national political agenda
both in terms of policy and research.
Imperatives for conserving and shaping the biosphereIn
this report the Council formulated five 'biological imperatives' to
serve as orientation points for policy and with which the values of
the biosphere are conserved and used sustainably for this and future
generations. The order of the imperatives does not imply any ranking:
the Council treats all of these maxims for action equally alongside
each other.
First biological imperative: preserve the integrity of bioregionsThe
Council recommends pursuing a dual strategy here. First of all,
it makes sense to impose usage restrictions within regions or zones
that are intended to assume a regional regulatory function or where
ecosystem services are most important. Added to that are the protected
areas of trans-regional or even global importance. Secondly, however,
in those zones that are suited to extensive or intensive use in agricultural
or forestry terms, sustainability limits should not be exceeded. The
Council has drawn up practical 'guidelines' for these zones to ensure
that sustainability is maintained.
Second biological imperative: secure existing biological resourcesThe
biological resources that are required to ensure the continuous
adjustment and further development of crops and livestock must not be
jeopardised. These include the wild species related to the cultivated
plants. Particular attention should be paid to zones in which valuable
plant genetic resources occur in a considerable concentration ('centres
of genetic diversity').
Third biological imperative: maintain biopotential for the futureThe
biosphere contains many substances and blueprints that are as yet unknown,
we must secure these options for the possibility of future use.
There are particularly great opportunities in areas in which biological
diversity is concentrated in natural ecosystems (e.g. tropical forests,
coral reefs) and therefore a relatively large number of interesting
'solutions' of a biochemical or structural nature are to be found. These
hotspots of biological diversity are particularly worthy of protection.
Fourth biological imperative: preserve the global natural heritageThere
is a global consensus across the international community in favour of
preserving the natural heritage. There are a variety of reasons for
this: they range from the concrete 'survival arguments' through to more
normative rationales. What is required in order to meet this goal is
a network of protected areas that includes representative examples
of every natural ecosystem on the earth. Of course, it is not just certain
ecosystems or landscapes that belong to the natural heritage, but also
the species that live in them. Measures to protect species are
therefore necessary if such species would otherwise have no other means
of survival.
Fifth biological imperative: preserve the regulatory functions of the biosphereThe
major biogeochemical cycles within the Earth's system are currently
subject to extensive influence from humankind. This influence can already
be felt at the coupling between the biosphere and the climatic system,
since climate change has a negative impact on the biosphere and vice
versa. Consequently, the global 'guard rail' that the Council has already
developed for climate protection may be transferred and applied to the
biosphere. For the global regulatory mechanisms there are already geographically
explicit critical focal points that require special protective
measures. Minimum demands may thus be formulated with regard to the
area of natural ecosystems that needs to be protected.
Eliminating knowledge gapsPerhaps
the most important aspect under the heading 'biosphere'
is the dramatic lack of knowledge. Only a small proportion of species
has been described so far and we do not even know the total number of
species worldwide. Explaining scientifically the ecological functions
performed by just one species or ecosystem is complicated and difficult
enough: the task of providing such an explanation for all species is
colossal. Therefore, it is essential to set clear priorities for biosphere
research.
Currently,
one important foundation of knowledge is at risk: even in Germany the
ability to identify animal and plant species is limited to an ever-diminishing
group of experts. Knowledge about regional biological diversity may
also be about to be lost. A research strategy that hopes to address
biodiversity cannot however limit itself to research in biosciences
in the narrower sense such as taxonomy or ecosystem research. It
must integrate the sustainable use of biological diversity (research
in agriculture, forestry and fisheries). This calls for an interdisciplinary
approach that also incorporates, for example, economics, ethics, psychology
and sociology.
The
crisis of our biosphere demands that researchers adopt a problem-oriented,
strategic approach. The starting point should be the following core
questions: Which of the goods and services that the biosphere provides
to humankind and to society are in jeopardy? What area of natural ecosystems
and how much biological diversity is required at the local, regional
and global levels, to ensure the supply of these goods and services
for the long term?
In
its 1999 Annual Report, the Council outlines a strategic framework for
biosphere research that can serve as a basis for an interconnected European,
and indeed, international research programme. The parameters are set
by three demands: (1) Priority must be given to research into the knowledge
base necessary for implementing the biological imperatives and the 'guard
rails'; (2) furthermore, there must be research into specific methods
and instruments; (3) in light of the knowledge and theory gaps, extensive
basic research is necessary that must contain both bio-ecological and
socio-economic elements.
The core
policy recommendations from the German Advisory Council on Global Change
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Addendum
Since
the publication of the Report the negotiations of two international,
legally-binding treaties were finalized:
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German
Advisory Council on Global Change - WBGU
Secretariat
Reichpietschufer 60-62, 8. OG
D-10785 Berlin
phone: 030 263948 0
fax: 030 263948 50
Email: wbgu@wbgu.de
Website: http://www.wbgu.de
Translation: Bonnscript
Cover
design Erich Kirchner, Heidelberg using the following illustrations:
Lobster (Nova Scotia, Canada); Puffin (Staffa, England); Field of rape
(Schlewig-Holstein, Germany); Timber work (British Columbia, Canada);
Apple blossom (Altes Land, Germany); Goats (Morocco): Source Prof. Dr.
Meinhard Schulz-Baldes.
Coral fish: Source Dr. Rüdiger Wandrey
The
summary can be downloaded though the Internet from the website
http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_jg1999_ultra_engl.html.
© 2001, WBGU (Reprint)
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