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Factsheet
Climate change: Why 2°C?
Berlin, 2009, 4 pages
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Factsheet
Budget Approach
Berlin, 2009, 4 pages
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Solving
the climate dilemma: The budget approach
German Advisory Council on Global Change
Berlin 2009, 58 pages, 12 Figures, 2 Tables
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can order your free printed version here.
The vast majority of scientists now agree that if global warming
exceeds a mean temperature of 2°C it will lead to dangerous,
irreversible and practically uncontrollable consequences for both
nature and mankind. A total of 133 countries, including the 16 major
economies and the European Union, have acknowledged the significance
of this temperature limit. Many of these countries have made it
their target to limit the rise of the global mean temperature to
2°C or less as a guard rail for their endeavours in climate
policy.
Latest research shows that there is only a realistic chance of restricting
global warming to 2°C if a limit is set on the total amount
of CO2 emitted globally between now and 2050 (CO2 global budget).
WBGU is moving this global budget to the forefront of its considerations
in creating a new global climate treaty, which is due to be negotiated
at COP 15 of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
in Copenhagen. Combined with fundamental concepts of equity the
WBGU budget approach provides concrete figures for each of the emission
limitations, which all countries will have to accept in order to
prevent the destabilization of the planet’s climate system.
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World
in Transition – Future Bioenergy and
Sustainable Land Use
German Advisory Council on Global Change
Publication
schedule
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Printed book version forthcoming December 2009,
£75.00 (Earthscan,
London)
In view of the major opportunities and risks associated with it,
and the complexity of the subject, bioenergy policy has in a short
time become a challenging political task for regulators and planners
– a task which can only be accomplished through worldwide cooperation
and the creation of an international framework. WBGU’s central message
is that use should be made of the sustainable potential of bioenergy
which can be tapped all over the world, provided that risks to sustainability
are excluded. In particular, the use of bioenergy must not endanger
food security or the goals of nature conservation and climate change
mitigation.
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Bioenergy
Factsheet: WBGU´s findings at a glance
Berlin, 2009, 4 pages
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World
in Transition – Climate Change as a Security Risk
German Advisory Council on Global Change
Earthscan, London, 2008, 248 pages, £75.00
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Without resolute counteraction, climate change will overstretch many
societies’ adaptive capacities within the coming decades. This could result
in destabilization and violence, jeopardizing national and international
security to a new degree. However, climate change could also unite the
international community, provided that it recognizes climate change as a
threat to humankind and soon sets the course for the avoid-ance of dangerous
anthropogenic climate change by adopting a dynamic and globally coordinated
climate policy. If it fails to do so, climate change will draw ever-deeper
lines of division and conflict in international relations, triggering
numerous conflicts between and within countries over the distribution of
resources, especially water and land, over the management of migration, or
over compensation payments between the countries mainly responsible for
climate change and those countries most affected by its destructive effects. |
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The
Future Oceans - Warming Up, Rising High, Turning Sour
German Advisory Council on Global Change, Berlin, 2006
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You can order your free printed version here.
Latest research findings show that failure to check mankind’s emissions
of carbon dioxide will have severe consequences for the world’s oceans.
The marine environment is doubly affected: continuing warming and
ongoing acidification both pose threats. In combination with over-fishing,
these two threats are further jeopardizing already weakened fish stocks.
Sea-level rise is exposing coastal regions to mounting flood and hurricane
risks. To keep the adverse effects on human society and ecosystems
within manageable limits, it will be essential to adopt new coastal
protection approaches, designate marine protected areas and agree
on ways to deal with refugees from endangered coastal areas. All such
measures, however, can only succeed if global warming and ocean acidification
are combated vigorously. Ambitious climate protection is therefore
a key precondition to successful marine conservation and coastal protection.
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