The Future Oceans – Warming Up, Rising High, Turning Sour

Special Report 2006
WBGU, Berlin, © 2006
110 pages (download as pdf, 3.4 MB), 3 Tables, 28 Figures, ISBN 3-936191-14-X

Latest research findings show that failure to check mankind’s emissions of carbon dioxide will have severe consequences for the world’s oceans. The marine environment is doubly affected: continuing warming and ongoing acidification both pose threats. In combination with over-fishing, these two threats are further jeopardizing already weakened fish stocks. Sea-level rise is exposing coastal regions to mounting flood and hurricane risks. To keep the adverse effects on human society and ecosystems within manageable limits, it will be essential to adopt new coastal protection approaches, designate marine protected areas and agree on ways to deal with refugees from endangered coastal areas. All such measures, however, can only succeed if global warming and ocean acidification are combated vigorously. Ambitious climate protection is therefore a key precondition to successful marine conservation and coastal protection.

Webcast of the Side Event
A video is available featuring the Side Event regarding the WBGU Special Report at the 12th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in November 2006.

     "Climate Impacts on the Ocean", 9.11.06 at the climate conference in Nairobi (time: 1 h15)    

Commissioned Expert's Studies

For this Special Report, the Council has commissioned four expert's studies, which are available for download:
    

  • Archer: Destabilization of Methane Hydrates: A Risk Analysis (1.2 MB, 104 p.)    
  • Brander: Assessment of Possible Impacts of Climate Change on Fisheries (2.3 MB, 54 p.)    
  • Brooks, Nicholls and Hall: Sea Level Rise: Coastal Impacts and Responses (1.2 MB, 85 p.)
  • Pörtner: Auswirkungen von CO2-Eintrag und Temperaturerhöhung auf die marine Biosphäre (1.5 MB, 85 p.)